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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 22 August 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 17
  3. 19
  4. 20
  5. 29
  6. 32
  7. 23

Jackpot€3,371,772

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 589 of 601 under them

← 2015-08-19All recent draws2015-08-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 17 19 20 29 32 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 588 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 August 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 78 of each

572times
1764times
1963times
2068times
2973times
3278times

Every number was expected about that many times after 588 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (5, 17, 32) with the draw of 9 May 2015 — its closest relative in 588 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 August 2015): 5 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 23% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2015-08-22

  • Lines in play≈ 1.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€377.5Kto 36k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 42lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 424%€89.9K
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball16%€60.6K
  • Match 341%€153.7K
  • 2 other tiers19%€73.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.18 by chance€3,371,772
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 1.1 by chance€25,000
  3. Match 533≈ 42 by chance€1,775
  4. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball115≈ 104 by chance€128
  5. Match 41,872≈ 1.9k by chance€48.00
  6. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,756≈ 2.6k by chance€22.00
  7. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 23k by chance€3.00
  8. Match 330,742≈ 31k by chance€5.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈1.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 23k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0€3.00
Match 330,742€5.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,756€22.00
Match 41,872€48.00
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball115€128
Match 533€1,775
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0€25,000
Match 60€3,371,772