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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 3 October 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 31
  5. 36
  6. 45
  7. 18

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 601 of 601 under them

← 2015-09-30All recent draws2015-10-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 15 17 31 36 45 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 600 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd94th
  • low48th
  • widest gap52th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 80 of each

179times
1573times
1767times
3171times
3682times
4580times

Every number was expected about that many times after 600 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 15, 17) with the draw of 15 April 2015 — its closest relative in 600 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 September 2015): 31 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

145

The numbers add up to 145 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2015-10-03

  • Lines in play≈ 963kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€467.3Kto 39k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball14%€64.8K
  • Match 414%€63.7K
  • Match 343%€199.6K
  • 4 other tiers30%€139.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.12 by chance€2,000,000
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 0.71 by chance€32,392
  3. Match 513≈ 27 by chance€2,988
  4. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball69≈ 67 by chance€142
  5. Match 41,027≈ 1.2k by chance€62.00
  6. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,566≈ 1.7k by chance€27.00
  7. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,132≈ 15k by chance€3.00
  8. Match 319,956≈ 20k by chance€10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈963k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,027 winners, 18% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,132€3.00
Match 319,956€10.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,566€27.00
Match 41,027€62.00
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball69€142
Match 513€2,988
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2€32,392
Match 60€2,000,000