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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 January 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 5
  3. 16
  4. 17
  5. 22
  6. 23
  7. 36

Jackpot€4,811,575

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 2015draw 444 of 1,154 under them

← 2020-01-01All recent draws2020-01-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 5 16 17 22 23 + 3629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 January 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd48th
  • low99th
  • widest gap22th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each

264times
553times
1668times
1756times
22

Prize breakdown · 2020-01-04

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€303.4Kto 36k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 32lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 416%€49.4K
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12%€36.1K
  • Match 348%€146.5K
  • 3 other tiers24%€71.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

62times
2351times

Every number was expected about that many times after 443 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (5, 16, 23) with the draw of 26 June 2019 — its closest relative in 443 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 January 2020): 5, 23 carried over. Chance says 58% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

85

The numbers add up to 85 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 144. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17, 22–23. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,811,575
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.64 by chance€50,993
  • Match 528≈ 25 by chance€1,092
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball58≈ 64 by chance€133
  • Match 41,373≈ 1.2k by chance€36.00
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,327≈ 1.7k by chance€25.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,018≈ 16k by chance€3.00
  • Match 320,923≈ 21k by chance€7.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 12,018 winners, 23% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,018€3.00
    Match 320,923€7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,327€25.00
    Match 41,373€36.00
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball58€133
    Match 528€1,092
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0€50,993
    Match 60€4,811,575