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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 4 January 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 29
  3. 36
  4. 38
  5. 40
  6. 43
  7. 30

Jackpot€11,106,438

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 2015draw 757 of 1,154 under them

← 2022-12-31All recent draws2023-01-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 29 36 38 40 43 + 3029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap22th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread11th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 97 of each

18108times
29114times
3679times
38104times
40

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-04

  • Lines in play≈ 679kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€11.4Mto 24k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 28lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 698%€11.1M
  • Match 40.4%€44.4K
  • Match 31.2%€137.5K
  • 4 other tiers0.8%€92.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

100times
4388times

Every number was expected about that many times after 756 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (29, 38, 40, 43) with the draw of 27 February 2021 — its closest relative in 756 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 59% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 December 2022): 18 carried over. Chance says 58% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

204

The numbers add up to 204 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 144. No two numbers side by side. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 61% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€11,106,438
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.38 by chance€147,997
  • Match 514≈ 15 by chance€1,962
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball43≈ 38 by chance€161
  • Match 4673≈ 740 by chance€66.00
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball917≈ 987 by chance€32.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,696≈ 9.4k by chance€3.00
  • Match 312,500≈ 13k by chance€11.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈679k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 673 winners, 9% fewer than the 740 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,696€3.00
    Match 312,500€11.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball917€32.00
    Match 4673€66.00
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball43€161
    Match 514€1,962
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0€147,997
    Match 61€11,106,438