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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 12 November 2011

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 5
  4. 6
  5. 8
  6. 18
  7. 31

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld 30% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 2 of 1,358 under them

← 2011-11-05All recent draws2011-11-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 5 6 8 18 + 3129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 November 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

21oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum0th
  • odd21th
  • low99th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

10times
21time
51time
60times
8

Prize breakdown · 2011-11-12

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 54k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 241lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 3.4

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$588.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$572K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$628K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 3.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

0times
180times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (2, 5) with the draw of 5 November 2011 — its closest relative in 1 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 21% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 November 2011): 2, 5 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

40

The numbers add up to 40 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2, 5–6. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 1 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus17≈ 20 by chanceNZ$16,151
  • Match 5867≈ 669 by chanceNZ$329
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,196≈ 1.7k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 426,765≈ 27k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,869≈ 36k by chanceNZ$23.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 24,869 winners, 30% fewer than the 36k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus17NZ$16,151
    Match 5867NZ$329
    Match 4 + Bonus1,196NZ$57.00
    Match 426,765NZ$22.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,869NZ$23.00