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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 14 January 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 5
  4. 16
  5. 19
  6. 34
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 11 of 1,358 under them

← 2012-01-07All recent draws2012-01-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 5 16 19 34 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 January 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd79th
  • low95th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

11time
31time
52times
160times
19

Prize breakdown · 2012-01-14

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 50k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 217lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.8

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$581.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$561.2K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$632.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

1time
341time

Every number was expected about that many times after 10 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (1, 5) with the draw of 12 November 2011 — its closest relative in 10 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 January 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

78

The numbers add up to 78 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus21≈ 17 by chanceNZ$13,165
  • Match 5433≈ 554 by chanceNZ$664
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,432≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$48.00
  • Match 418,164≈ 22k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus29,539≈ 30k by chanceNZ$19.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 433 winners, 22% fewer than the 554 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus21NZ$13,165
    Match 5433NZ$664
    Match 4 + Bonus1,432NZ$48.00
    Match 418,164NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus29,539NZ$19.00