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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 November 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 22
  3. 31
  4. 32
  5. 33
  6. 36
  7. 26

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 54 of 1,358 under them

← 2012-11-03All recent draws2012-11-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 22 31 32 33 36 + 2629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 November 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

21oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd21th
  • low5th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

188times
224times
3111times
324times
33

Prize breakdown · 2012-11-10

  • Lines in play≈ 9.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2Mto 47k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 198lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$328.8K
  • Match 433%NZ$676.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$647.9K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$394.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

12times
369times

Every number was expected about that many times after 53 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (18, 32, 36) with the draw of 19 May 2012 — its closest relative in 53 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 November 2012): 36 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

172

The numbers add up to 172 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32, 32–33. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus19≈ 15 by chanceNZ$16,648
  • Match 5442≈ 486 by chanceNZ$744
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,215≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 419,891≈ 19k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus25,915≈ 26k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 19,891 winners, 2% more than the 19k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus19NZ$16,648
    Match 5442NZ$744
    Match 4 + Bonus1,215NZ$64.00
    Match 419,891NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus25,915NZ$25.00