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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 28 September 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 21
  3. 29
  4. 33
  5. 39
  6. 40
  7. 8

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 100 of 1,359 under them

← 2013-09-21All recent draws2013-10-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 21 29 33 39 40 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 September 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

20oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 20 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd95th
  • low5th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

117times
2119times
2914times
3319times
39

Prize breakdown · 2013-09-28

  • Lines in play≈ 22Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$5.6Mto 111k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 200lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 5.8

Where the money went

  • Match 618%NZ$1M
  • Match 427%NZ$1.5M
  • Match 3 + Bonus26%NZ$1.5M
  • 3 other tiers29%NZ$1.6M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 5.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

16times
4015times

Every number was expected about that many times after 99 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (29, 39, 40) with the draw of 20 April 2013 — its closest relative in 99 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2013): 21 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

163

The numbers add up to 163 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus35≈ 35 by chanceNZ$20,030
  • Match 51,108≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$658
  • Match 4 + Bonus3,193≈ 2.9k by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 445,314≈ 46k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus61,075≈ 61k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈22M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 3,193 winners, 12% more than the 2.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus35NZ$20,030
    Match 51,108NZ$658
    Match 4 + Bonus3,193NZ$54.00
    Match 445,314NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus61,075NZ$24.00