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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
JackpotNZ$1,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 293 of 1,358 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 August 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 44 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 292 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 18, 23) with the draw of 16 March 2016 — its closest relative in 292 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 August 2016): 10, 28 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 121 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 18,917 winners, 17% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 1 | NZ$1,000,000 |
| Match 5 + Bonus | 10 | NZ$26,045 |
| Match 5 | 420 | NZ$645 |
| Match 4 + Bonus | 1,066 | NZ$60.00 |
| Match 4 | 18,917 | NZ$29.00 |
| Match 3 + Bonus | 21,644 | NZ$25.00 |
| Match 3 | 0 | — |
| Totals | 0 | — |