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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 5 November 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 11
  3. 16
  4. 24
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 35

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 319 of 1,358 under them

← 2016-11-02All recent draws2016-11-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 11 16 24 38 40 + 3529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 November 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each

346times
1143times
1641times
2449times
38

Prize breakdown · 2016-11-05

  • Lines in play≈ 20Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$5.3Mto 102k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 195lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 5.2

Where the money went

  • Match 619%NZ$1M
  • Match 427%NZ$1.4M
  • Match 3 + Bonus26%NZ$1.4M
  • 3 other tiers29%NZ$1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 5.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

42times
4049times

Every number was expected about that many times after 318 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (16, 24, 40) with the draw of 8 June 2016 — its closest relative in 318 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 November 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

132

The numbers add up to 132 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus26≈ 31 by chanceNZ$25,726
  • Match 51,085≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$641
  • Match 4 + Bonus2,608≈ 2.6k by chanceNZ$63.00
  • Match 443,494≈ 41k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus54,763≈ 55k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈20M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 43,494 winners, 6% more than the 41k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus26NZ$25,726
    Match 51,085NZ$641
    Match 4 + Bonus2,608NZ$63.00
    Match 443,494NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus54,763NZ$25.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—