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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 1 March 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 11
  3. 18
  4. 21
  5. 22
  6. 38
  7. 27

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 352 of 1,359 under them

← 2017-02-25All recent draws2017-03-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 11 18 21 22 38 + 2729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 March 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

152times
1149times
1863times
2155times
22

Prize breakdown · 2017-03-01

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.8Mto 23k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 202lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 654%NZ$1M
  • Match 415%NZ$279.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus14%NZ$265.4K
  • 3 other tiers16%NZ$298.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

48times
3847times

Every number was expected about that many times after 351 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 11, 38) with the draw of 14 January 2017 — its closest relative in 351 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 February 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus6≈ 7.2 by chanceNZ$21,756
  • Match 5241≈ 237 by chanceNZ$563
  • Match 4 + Bonus579≈ 592 by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 49,329≈ 9.5k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus12,637≈ 13k by chanceNZ$21.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 579 winners, 2% fewer than the 592 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus6NZ$21,756
    Match 5241NZ$563
    Match 4 + Bonus579NZ$56.00
    Match 49,329NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus12,637NZ$21.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—