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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 September 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 9
  3. 15
  4. 20
  5. 24
  6. 37
  7. 16

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 409 of 1,359 under them

← 2017-09-13All recent draws2017-09-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 9 15 20 24 37 + 1629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 September 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.

  • sum29th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each

360times
969times
1567times
2055times
24

Prize breakdown · 2017-09-16

  • Lines in play≈ 14Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.8Mto 479k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 3.7

Where the money went

  • Match 626%NZ$1M
  • Match 424%NZ$892.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus23%NZ$883.9K
  • 3 other tiers27%NZ$1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 3.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

61times
3759times

Every number was expected about that many times after 408 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 20, 24, 37) with the draw of 31 October 2015 — its closest relative in 408 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 September 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

108

The numbers add up to 108 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus25≈ 22 by chanceNZ$18,087
  • Match 5747≈ 742 by chanceNZ$600
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,737≈ 1.9k by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 429,742≈ 30k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus38,432≈ 40k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3408,747≈ 409k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,737 winners, 6% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus25NZ$18,087
    Match 5747NZ$600
    Match 4 + Bonus1,737NZ$59.00
    Match 429,742NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus38,432NZ$23.00
    Match 3408,747NZ$0.00
    Totals0—