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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 25 July 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 16
  3. 18
  4. 19
  5. 28
  6. 35
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 498 of 1,358 under them

← 2018-07-21All recent draws2018-07-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 16 18 19 28 35 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each

1071times
1673times
1884times
1992times
28

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-25

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.1Mto 185k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.4

Where the money went

  • Match 649%NZ$1M
  • Match 417%NZ$346.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus16%NZ$331.7K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$382.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

72times
3578times

Every number was expected about that many times after 497 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 18, 19, 35) with the draw of 13 September 2017 — its closest relative in 497 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 July 2018): 10 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 8.7 by chanceNZ$17,204
  • Match 5299≈ 286 by chanceNZ$571
  • Match 4 + Bonus759≈ 714 by chanceNZ$52.00
  • Match 411,164≈ 11k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus15,793≈ 15k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3157,352≈ 157k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 759 winners, 6% more than the 714 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$17,204
    Match 5299NZ$571
    Match 4 + Bonus759NZ$52.00
    Match 411,164NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus15,793NZ$21.00
    Match 3157,352NZ$0.00
    Totals0—