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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 August 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 16
  3. 22
  4. 29
  5. 32
  6. 37
  7. 27

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 501 of 1,359 under them

← 2018-08-01All recent draws2018-08-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 16 22 29 32 37 + 2729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.

  • sum75th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each

564times
1674times
2270times
2978times
32

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-04

  • Lines in play≈ 9.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 300k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 635%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$587.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$579.4K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$658.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

71times
3774times

Every number was expected about that many times after 500 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 22, 29, 37) with the draw of 20 December 2014 — its closest relative in 500 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 August 2018): 5, 22 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 14 by chanceNZ$21,204
  • Match 5462≈ 462 by chanceNZ$637
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,244≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 418,362≈ 18k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus25,193≈ 25k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3254,462≈ 254k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,244 winners, 8% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$21,204
    Match 5462NZ$637
    Match 4 + Bonus1,244NZ$54.00
    Match 418,362NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus25,193NZ$23.00
    Match 3254,462NZ$0.00
    Totals0—