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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 29 August 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 8
  4. 12
  5. 21
  6. 32
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 508 of 1,359 under them

← 2018-08-25All recent draws2018-09-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 8 12 21 32 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 76 of each

278times
770times
866times
1277times
21

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-29

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.7Mto 168k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 31lines took a prize
  • Match 610 winnerschance said 1.4

Where the money went

  • Match 660%NZ$1M
  • Match 5 + Bonus9.0%NZ$149.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$292K
  • 3 other tiers13%NZ$212.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 610≈ 1.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

76times
3273times

Every number was expected about that many times after 507 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (7, 8, 12) with the draw of 2 June 2018 — its closest relative in 507 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 August 2018): 8 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

82

The numbers add up to 82 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$100,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 8.2 by chanceNZ$18,704
  • Match 5261≈ 271 by chanceNZ$569
  • Match 4 + Bonus743≈ 678 by chanceNZ$46.00
  • Match 41,119≈ 11k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus16,221≈ 14k by chanceNZ$18.00
  • Match 3149,431≈ 149k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,119 winners, 90% fewer than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 610NZ$100,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$18,704
    Match 5261NZ$569
    Match 4 + Bonus743NZ$46.00
    Match 41,119NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus16,221NZ$18.00
    Match 3149,431NZ$0.00
    Totals0—