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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 22 May 2019

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 12
  4. 14
  5. 16
  6. 28
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 584 of 1,359 under them

← 2019-05-18All recent draws2019-05-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 12 14 16 28 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 May 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd5th
  • low95th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each

290times
392times
1291times
1494times
16

Prize breakdown · 2019-05-22

  • Lines in play≈ 5.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.1Mto 193k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 29lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 648%NZ$1M
  • Match 417%NZ$346.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus16%NZ$331.1K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$385.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 1.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

82times
2882times

Every number was expected about that many times after 583 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 3, 16) with the draw of 11 May 2019 — its closest relative in 583 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 May 2019): 12 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 4 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 8.9 by chanceNZ$19,272
  • Match 5310≈ 292 by chanceNZ$555
  • Match 4 + Bonus920≈ 730 by chanceNZ$43.00
  • Match 411,955≈ 12k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus18,396≈ 16k by chanceNZ$18.00
  • Match 3161,014≈ 161k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 920 winners, 26% more than the 730 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$19,272
    Match 5310NZ$555
    Match 4 + Bonus920NZ$43.00
    Match 411,955NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus18,396NZ$18.00
    Match 3161,014NZ$0.00
    Totals0—