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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 3 August 2019

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 17
  3. 30
  4. 31
  5. 34
  6. 39
  7. 25

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 605 of 1,359 under them

← 2019-07-31All recent draws2019-08-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 17 30 31 34 39 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 August 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 91 of each

788times
1796times
3087times
3189times
34

Prize breakdown · 2019-08-03

  • Lines in play≈ 7.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 247k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$488.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$475.4K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$539K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

81times
3984times

Every number was expected about that many times after 604 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 31, 34, 39) with the draw of 24 October 2015 — its closest relative in 604 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 July 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

158

The numbers add up to 158 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 12 by chanceNZ$27,004
  • Match 5306≈ 382 by chanceNZ$788
  • Match 4 + Bonus946≈ 955 by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 414,808≈ 15k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,669≈ 20k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3210,483≈ 210k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 14,808 winners, 3% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$27,004
    Match 5306NZ$788
    Match 4 + Bonus946NZ$58.00
    Match 414,808NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,669NZ$23.00
    Match 3210,483NZ$0.00
    Totals0—