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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 August 2019

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 12
  3. 17
  4. 23
  5. 31
  6. 34
  7. 40

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 607 of 1,359 under them

← 2019-08-07All recent draws2019-08-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 12 17 23 31 34 + 4029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 August 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 91 of each

884times
1294times
1797times
2391times
31

Prize breakdown · 2019-08-10

  • Lines in play≈ 8.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.6Mto 275k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$256.3K
  • Match 432%NZ$513.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$502.6K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$312.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

90times
3482times

Every number was expected about that many times after 606 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 12, 31, 34) with the draw of 21 July 2018 — its closest relative in 606 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 August 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 13 by chanceNZ$21,357
  • Match 5436≈ 426 by chanceNZ$583
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,049≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 417,122≈ 17k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,853≈ 23k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3234,767≈ 235k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 21,853 winners, 4% fewer than the 23k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$21,357
    Match 5436NZ$583
    Match 4 + Bonus1,049NZ$56.00
    Match 417,122NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,853NZ$23.00
    Match 3234,767NZ$0.00
    Totals0—