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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 21 August 2019

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 8
  3. 15
  4. 17
  5. 21
  6. 23
  7. 29

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 610 of 1,359 under them

← 2019-08-17All recent draws2019-08-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 8 15 17 21 23 + 2929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 August 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 91 of each

677times
885times
15106times
1798times
21

Prize breakdown · 2019-08-21

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.9Mto 173k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 652%NZ$1M
  • Match 416%NZ$306K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$294.7K
  • 3 other tiers18%NZ$340.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

90times
2393times

Every number was expected about that many times after 609 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 15, 21, 23) with the draw of 18 April 2015 — its closest relative in 609 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 August 2019): 6 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

90

The numbers add up to 90 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus7≈ 8.1 by chanceNZ$21,899
  • Match 5278≈ 267 by chanceNZ$547
  • Match 4 + Bonus699≈ 667 by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 410,928≈ 11k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus14,034≈ 14k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3147,018≈ 147k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 699 winners, 5% more than the 667 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus7NZ$21,899
    Match 5278NZ$547
    Match 4 + Bonus699NZ$50.00
    Match 410,928NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus14,034NZ$21.00
    Match 3147,018NZ$0.00
    Totals0—