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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 28 August 2019

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 15
  3. 19
  4. 23
  5. 24
  6. 25
  7. 21

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 612 of 1,359 under them

← 2019-08-24All recent draws2019-08-31 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 15 19 23 24 25 + 2129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 August 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 92 of each

489times
15107times
19110times
2394times
24

Prize breakdown · 2019-08-28

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$987.2Kto 181k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.4

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$162.7K
  • Match 432%NZ$318.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$308.4K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$197.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

91times
2590times

Every number was expected about that many times after 611 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 19, 24, 25) with the draw of 17 March 2018 — its closest relative in 611 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 August 2019): 4 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

110

The numbers add up to 110 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24, 24–25. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus6≈ 8.4 by chanceNZ$27,109
  • Match 5279≈ 278 by chanceNZ$578
  • Match 4 + Bonus764≈ 695 by chanceNZ$48.00
  • Match 411,367≈ 11k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus15,418≈ 15k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3153,213≈ 153k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 764 winners, 10% more than the 695 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus6NZ$27,109
    Match 5279NZ$578
    Match 4 + Bonus764NZ$48.00
    Match 411,367NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus15,418NZ$20.00
    Match 3153,213NZ$0.00
    Totals0—