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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 18 July 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 9
  3. 10
  4. 16
  5. 22
  6. 23
  7. 33

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 705 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-07-15All recent draws2020-07-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 9 10 16 22 23 + 3329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 July 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 106 of each

1113times
9104times
10112times
16102times
22

Prize breakdown · 2020-07-18

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3Mto 383k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 3.0

Where the money went

  • Match 633%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$654K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$649.6K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$743.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 3.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

114times
23109times

Every number was expected about that many times after 704 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 9, 10, 23) with the draw of 28 October 2017 — its closest relative in 704 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 July 2020): 10, 16 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

81

The numbers add up to 81 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10, 22–23. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 18 by chanceNZ$23,936
  • Match 5596≈ 593 by chanceNZ$558
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,356≈ 1.5k by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 424,224≈ 24k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus29,529≈ 32k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3326,796≈ 327k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,356 winners, 9% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$23,936
    Match 5596NZ$558
    Match 4 + Bonus1,356NZ$56.00
    Match 424,224NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus29,529NZ$22.00
    Match 3326,796NZ$0.00
    Totals382,519—