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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 1 August 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 16
  3. 22
  4. 24
  5. 31
  6. 34
  7. 20

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 709 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-07-29All recent draws2020-08-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 16 22 24 31 34 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 August 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 106 of each

7107times
16103times
22115times
24109times
31

Prize breakdown · 2020-08-01

  • Lines in play≈ 16Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$4.1Mto 537k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 4.2

Where the money went

  • Match 624%NZ$1M
  • Match 424%NZ$1M
  • Match 3 + Bonus24%NZ$970K
  • 3 other tiers27%NZ$1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 4.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

104times
3496times

Every number was expected about that many times after 708 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 22, 24, 34) with the draw of 25 November 2017 — its closest relative in 708 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 July 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus22≈ 25 by chanceNZ$23,059
  • Match 5837≈ 829 by chanceNZ$601
  • Match 4 + Bonus2,107≈ 2.1k by chanceNZ$55.00
  • Match 433,432≈ 33k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus44,091≈ 44k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3456,731≈ 457k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 2,107 winners, 2% more than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus22NZ$23,059
    Match 5837NZ$601
    Match 4 + Bonus2,107NZ$55.00
    Match 433,432NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus44,091NZ$22.00
    Match 3456,731NZ$0.00
    Totals537,222—