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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 14 November 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 23
  3. 26
  4. 29
  5. 39
  6. 40
  7. 15

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 739 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-11-11All recent draws2020-11-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 23 26 29 39 40 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 November 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 74% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 111 of each

10117times
23118times
26108times
29116times
39

Prize breakdown · 2020-11-14

  • Lines in play≈ 7.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 249k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 641%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$471K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$462.9K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$533.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

109times
40112times

Every number was expected about that many times after 738 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (23, 29, 39, 40) with the draw of 7 October 2020 — its closest relative in 738 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 November 2020): 26 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

167

The numbers add up to 167 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 12 by chanceNZ$21,856
  • Match 5379≈ 385 by chanceNZ$629
  • Match 4 + Bonus897≈ 964 by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 415,195≈ 15k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,125≈ 21k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3212,401≈ 212k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 897 winners, 7% fewer than the 964 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$21,856
    Match 5379NZ$629
    Match 4 + Bonus897NZ$61.00
    Match 415,195NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,125NZ$23.00
    Match 3212,401NZ$0.00
    Totals249,013—