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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 6 January 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 6
  3. 16
  4. 18
  5. 23
  6. 32
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 754 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-01-02All recent draws2021-01-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 6 16 18 23 32 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 113 of each

1125times
6105times
16111times
18117times
23

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-06

  • Lines in play≈ 5.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.1Mto 199k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 648%NZ$1M
  • Match 417%NZ$359.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus16%NZ$344.4K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$400.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

120times
32112times

Every number was expected about that many times after 753 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 16, 18, 32) with the draw of 23 March 2013 — its closest relative in 753 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 January 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 9.2 by chanceNZ$13,867
  • Match 5270≈ 305 by chanceNZ$662
  • Match 4 + Bonus841≈ 762 by chanceNZ$49.00
  • Match 412,390≈ 12k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus17,218≈ 16k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3167,952≈ 168k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 841 winners, 10% more than the 762 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$13,867
    Match 5270NZ$662
    Match 4 + Bonus841NZ$49.00
    Match 412,390NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus17,218NZ$20.00
    Match 3167,952NZ$0.00
    Totals198,686—