LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇳🇿 0800 654 655all helplines →

Lotto · draw

Saturday, 23 January 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 16
  4. 20
  5. 30
  6. 40
  7. 18

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 759 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-01-20All recent draws2021-01-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 16 20 30 40 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum40th
  • odd1th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 114 of each

4109times
6107times
16112times
20115times
30

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-23

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 260k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 641%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$462.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$460K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$527.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

108times
40115times

Every number was expected about that many times after 758 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 6, 30, 40) with the draw of 2 December 2020 — its closest relative in 758 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 January 2021): 6 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 12 by chanceNZ$26,374
  • Match 5457≈ 400 by chanceNZ$515
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,046≈ 1,000 by chanceNZ$52.00
  • Match 416,522≈ 16k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,903≈ 21k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3220,412≈ 220k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,046 winners, 5% more than the 1,000 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$26,374
    Match 5457NZ$515
    Match 4 + Bonus1,046NZ$52.00
    Match 416,522NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,903NZ$21.00
    Match 3220,412NZ$0.00
    Totals260,350—