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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 3 March 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 9
  3. 20
  4. 22
  5. 26
  6. 39
  7. 31

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 770 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-02-27All recent draws2021-03-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 9 20 22 26 39 + 3129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.

  • sum44th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 115 of each

3109times
9111times
20119times
22124times
26

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-03

  • Lines in play≈ 5.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.1Mto 188k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 648%NZ$1M
  • Match 417%NZ$345.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus16%NZ$335.5K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$390.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

118times
39112times

Every number was expected about that many times after 769 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 22, 26, 39) with the draw of 31 October 2020 — its closest relative in 769 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 February 2021): 26 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus7≈ 8.8 by chanceNZ$25,128
  • Match 5264≈ 292 by chanceNZ$661
  • Match 4 + Bonus682≈ 729 by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 411,529≈ 12k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus14,586≈ 16k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3160,741≈ 161k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 682 winners, 6% fewer than the 729 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus7NZ$25,128
    Match 5264NZ$661
    Match 4 + Bonus682NZ$59.00
    Match 411,529NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus14,586NZ$23.00
    Match 3160,741NZ$0.00
    Totals187,811—