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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 July 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 14
  3. 19
  4. 22
  5. 25
  6. 26
  7. 27

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 807 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-07-07All recent draws2021-07-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 14 19 22 25 26 + 2729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.

  • sum36th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 121 of each

7119times
14115times
19143times
22133times
25

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-10

  • Lines in play≈ 9.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 305k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.4

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$521.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$501.9K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$576.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

121times
26129times

Every number was expected about that many times after 806 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 19, 22, 26) with the draw of 13 March 2021 — its closest relative in 806 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 July 2021): 14 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

113

The numbers add up to 113 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 14 by chanceNZ$19,986
  • Match 5472≈ 469 by chanceNZ$546
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,205≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$49.00
  • Match 419,322≈ 19k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus25,093≈ 25k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3258,562≈ 259k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 19,322 winners, 3% more than the 19k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$19,986
    Match 5472NZ$546
    Match 4 + Bonus1,205NZ$49.00
    Match 419,322NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus25,093NZ$20.00
    Match 3258,562NZ$0.00
    Totals304,668—