LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇳🇿 0800 654 655all helplines →

Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 22 September 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 21
  4. 23
  5. 28
  6. 34
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 828 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-09-18All recent draws2021-09-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 21 23 28 34 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 124 of each

8118times
11121times
21123times
23135times
28

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-22

  • Lines in play≈ 7.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 255k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 641%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$464.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$456.8K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$519.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

115times
34112times

Every number was expected about that many times after 827 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 11, 21, 34) with the draw of 31 December 2016 — its closest relative in 827 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 September 2021): 21 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 12 by chanceNZ$26,003
  • Match 5376≈ 393 by chanceNZ$617
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,064≈ 982 by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 415,472≈ 16k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,751≈ 21k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3216,413≈ 216k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,064 winners, 8% more than the 982 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$26,003
    Match 5376NZ$617
    Match 4 + Bonus1,064NZ$50.00
    Match 415,472NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,751NZ$21.00
    Match 3216,413NZ$0.00
    Totals255,087—