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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 30 October 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 7
  3. 8
  4. 17
  5. 21
  6. 40
  7. 39

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 839 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-10-27All recent draws2021-11-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 7 8 17 21 40 + 3929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 126 of each

5109times
7125times
8120times
17136times
21

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-30

  • Lines in play≈ 9.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 308k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 2.4

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$488K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$487.3K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$552.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 2.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

127times
40127times

Every number was expected about that many times after 838 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 8, 17, 21) with the draw of 25 March 2020 — its closest relative in 838 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 October 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 15 by chanceNZ$16,604
  • Match 5483≈ 480 by chanceNZ$511
  • Match 4 + Bonus977≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 419,521≈ 19k by chanceNZ$25.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,148≈ 26k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3264,672≈ 265k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 977 winners, 19% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$16,604
    Match 5483NZ$511
    Match 4 + Bonus977NZ$58.00
    Match 419,521NZ$25.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,148NZ$22.00
    Match 3264,672NZ$0.00
    Totals307,819—