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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 6 November 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 18
  3. 20
  4. 26
  5. 31
  6. 37
  7. 15

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 841 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-11-03All recent draws2021-11-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 18 20 26 31 37 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 November 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

77oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 77 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 126 of each

5110times
18133times
20124times
26134times
31

Prize breakdown · 2021-11-06

  • Lines in play≈ 7.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 250k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$500.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$481.7K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$553.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

124times
37117times

Every number was expected about that many times after 840 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (5, 26, 31) with the draw of 24 April 2021 — its closest relative in 840 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 November 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 12 by chanceNZ$16,613
  • Match 5335≈ 385 by chanceNZ$738
  • Match 4 + Bonus978≈ 964 by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 415,155≈ 15k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,944≈ 21k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3212,413≈ 212k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 20,944 winners, 2% more than the 21k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$16,613
    Match 5335NZ$738
    Match 4 + Bonus978NZ$58.00
    Match 415,155NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,944NZ$23.00
    Match 3212,413NZ$0.00
    Totals249,841—