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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 1 January 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 6
  3. 19
  4. 20
  5. 23
  6. 29
  7. 21

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 857 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-12-29All recent draws2022-01-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 6 19 20 23 29 + 2129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 January 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 128 of each

3123times
6128times
19152times
20128times
23

Prize breakdown · 2022-01-01

  • Lines in play≈ 8.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.6Mto 295k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$260K
  • Match 432%NZ$515K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$509.8K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$317.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

140times
29137times

Every number was expected about that many times after 856 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 19, 23, 29) with the draw of 7 October 2020 — its closest relative in 856 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 December 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 14 by chanceNZ$18,570
  • Match 5502≈ 455 by chanceNZ$514
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,191≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 418,394≈ 18k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,277≈ 24k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3250,717≈ 251k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,191 winners, 5% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$18,570
    Match 5502NZ$514
    Match 4 + Bonus1,191NZ$50.00
    Match 418,394NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,277NZ$21.00
    Match 3250,717NZ$0.00
    Totals295,095—