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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 14 May 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 7
  4. 18
  5. 31
  6. 35
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 895 of 1,359 under them

← 2022-05-11All recent draws2022-05-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 7 18 31 35 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 May 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd95th
  • low79th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 134 of each

3128times
5125times
7130times
18139times
31

Prize breakdown · 2022-05-14

  • Lines in play≈ 8.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 275k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$477.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$474.7K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$544.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

134times
35145times

Every number was expected about that many times after 894 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 31, 35) with the draw of 9 February 2022 — its closest relative in 894 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 May 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

99

The numbers add up to 99 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus4≈ 13 by chanceNZ$61,260
  • Match 5425≈ 425 by chanceNZ$572
  • Match 4 + Bonus968≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 417,056≈ 17k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,607≈ 23k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3234,218≈ 234k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 968 winners, 9% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus4NZ$61,260
    Match 5425NZ$572
    Match 4 + Bonus968NZ$58.00
    Match 417,056NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,607NZ$21.00
    Match 3234,218NZ$0.00
    Totals275,280—