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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 17 August 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 11
  4. 20
  5. 27
  6. 32
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 922 of 1,359 under them

← 2022-08-13All recent draws2022-08-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 11 20 27 32 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 August 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 138 of each

1147times
5131times
11132times
20138times
27

Prize breakdown · 2022-08-17

  • Lines in play≈ 6.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.2Mto 218k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 1.7

Where the money went

  • Match 645%NZ$1M
  • Match 417%NZ$387.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$389K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$438.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 1.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

121times
32140times

Every number was expected about that many times after 921 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 5, 20, 32) with the draw of 10 October 2020 — its closest relative in 921 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 August 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 10 by chanceNZ$39,512
  • Match 5358≈ 334 by chanceNZ$547
  • Match 4 + Bonus951≈ 835 by chanceNZ$47.00
  • Match 413,361≈ 13k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus19,448≈ 18k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3184,153≈ 184k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 951 winners, 14% more than the 835 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$39,512
    Match 5358NZ$547
    Match 4 + Bonus951NZ$47.00
    Match 413,361NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus19,448NZ$20.00
    Match 3184,153NZ$0.00
    Totals218,281—