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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 14 September 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 18
  4. 27
  5. 31
  6. 34
  7. 30

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 930 of 1,359 under them

← 2022-09-10All recent draws2022-09-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 18 27 31 34 + 3029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

91oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 91 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 100% of every possible ticket.

  • sum44th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 139 of each

4133times
5133times
18142times
27122times
31

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-14

  • Lines in play≈ 8.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 295k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$552.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$537.2K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$626.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

142times
34124times

Every number was expected about that many times after 929 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 5, 31, 34) with the draw of 1 August 2018 — its closest relative in 929 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 14 by chanceNZ$56,513
  • Match 5475≈ 457 by chanceNZ$590
  • Match 4 + Bonus984≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$65.00
  • Match 417,836≈ 18k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,356≈ 24k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3252,059≈ 252k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 984 winners, 14% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$56,513
    Match 5475NZ$590
    Match 4 + Bonus984NZ$65.00
    Match 417,836NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,356NZ$23.00
    Match 3252,059NZ$0.00
    Totals294,716—