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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 28 September 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 6
  4. 20
  5. 31
  6. 37
  7. 11

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 934 of 1,359 under them

← 2022-09-24All recent draws2022-10-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 6 20 31 37 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 140 of each

1148times
3134times
6141times
20139times
31

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-28

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.1Mto 181k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.4

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$173.3K
  • Match 432%NZ$342.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$336.7K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$211.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

143times
37129times

Every number was expected about that many times after 933 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 6, 31, 37) with the draw of 19 May 2018 — its closest relative in 933 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 8.4 by chanceNZ$13,329
  • Match 5288≈ 277 by chanceNZ$597
  • Match 4 + Bonus715≈ 693 by chanceNZ$55.00
  • Match 410,696≈ 11k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus16,033≈ 15k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3152,854≈ 153k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 16,033 winners, 8% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$13,329
    Match 5288NZ$597
    Match 4 + Bonus715NZ$55.00
    Match 410,696NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus16,033NZ$21.00
    Match 3152,854NZ$0.00
    Totals180,599—