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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 25 January 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 11
  3. 12
  4. 18
  5. 24
  6. 30
  7. 20

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 968 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-01-21All recent draws2023-01-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 11 12 18 24 30 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each

5138times
11135times
12151times
18146times
24

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-25

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.1Mto 214k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.7

Where the money went

  • Match 647%NZ$1M
  • Match 417%NZ$358.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$348.1K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$402.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

155times
30137times

Every number was expected about that many times after 967 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 18, 24, 30) with the draw of 5 September 2020 — its closest relative in 967 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 January 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 9.9 by chanceNZ$15,127
  • Match 5384≈ 327 by chanceNZ$469
  • Match 4 + Bonus858≈ 818 by chanceNZ$48.00
  • Match 414,933≈ 13k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus17,407≈ 17k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3180,391≈ 180k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 14,933 winners, 14% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$15,127
    Match 5384NZ$469
    Match 4 + Bonus858NZ$48.00
    Match 414,933NZ$24.00
    Match 3 + Bonus17,407NZ$20.00
    Match 3180,391NZ$0.00
    Totals213,987—