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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 April 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 19
  4. 23
  5. 29
  6. 35
  7. 36

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 991 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-04-12All recent draws2023-04-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 19 23 29 35 + 3629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 April 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 149 of each

1157times
2150times
19176times
23165times
29

Prize breakdown · 2023-04-15

  • Lines in play≈ 9.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 318k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 635%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$583.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$584.6K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$661.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

158times
35158times

Every number was expected about that many times after 990 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 19, 23, 29) with the draw of 8 October 2016 — its closest relative in 990 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 April 2023): 1, 19, 35 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

109

The numbers add up to 109 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus16≈ 15 by chanceNZ$18,611
  • Match 5460≈ 496 by chanceNZ$642
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,114≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 419,459≈ 20k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,383≈ 26k by chanceNZ$25.00
  • Match 3273,444≈ 273k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 23,383 winners, 12% fewer than the 26k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus16NZ$18,611
    Match 5460NZ$642
    Match 4 + Bonus1,114NZ$61.00
    Match 419,459NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,383NZ$25.00
    Match 3273,444NZ$0.00
    Totals317,877—