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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 28 June 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 8
  4. 15
  5. 31
  6. 33
  7. 29

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,012 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-06-24All recent draws2023-07-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 8 15 31 33 + 2929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 June 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 152 of each

4151times
5145times
8137times
15171times
31

Prize breakdown · 2023-06-28

  • Lines in play≈ 18Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$4.3Mto 584k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 4.6

Where the money went

  • Match 623%NZ$1M
  • Match 425%NZ$1.1M
  • Match 3 + Bonus24%NZ$1M
  • 3 other tiers28%NZ$1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 4.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

156times
33148times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,011 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 5, 8, 31) with the draw of 25 March 2023 — its closest relative in 1,011 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 June 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus25≈ 27 by chanceNZ$21,753
  • Match 5796≈ 904 by chanceNZ$678
  • Match 4 + Bonus2,246≈ 2.3k by chanceNZ$55.00
  • Match 435,561≈ 36k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus47,431≈ 48k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3498,158≈ 498k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 796 winners, 12% fewer than the 904 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus25NZ$21,753
    Match 5796NZ$678
    Match 4 + Bonus2,246NZ$55.00
    Match 435,561NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus47,431NZ$22.00
    Match 3498,158NZ$0.00
    Totals584,219—