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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 8 July 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 8
  3. 10
  4. 18
  5. 25
  6. 32
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,015 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-07-05All recent draws2023-07-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 8 10 18 25 32 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd5th
  • low79th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 152 of each

6148times
8138times
10162times
18155times
25

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-08

  • Lines in play≈ 8.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 299k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$527.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$503.8K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$582.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

158times
32153times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,014 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 10, 18, 25) with the draw of 6 May 2023 — its closest relative in 1,014 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

99

The numbers add up to 99 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 14 by chanceNZ$17,514
  • Match 5441≈ 457 by chanceNZ$591
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,294≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$46.00
  • Match 418,831≈ 18k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,515≈ 24k by chanceNZ$19.00
  • Match 3251,635≈ 252k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,294 winners, 13% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$17,514
    Match 5441NZ$591
    Match 4 + Bonus1,294NZ$46.00
    Match 418,831NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,515NZ$19.00
    Match 3251,635NZ$0.00
    Totals298,733—