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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 29 July 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 13
  4. 18
  5. 21
  6. 34
  7. 40

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,021 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-07-26All recent draws2023-08-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 13 18 21 34 + 4029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 153 of each

4154times
10163times
13150times
18156times
21

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-29

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.3Mto 414k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 3.2

Where the money went

  • Match 630%NZ$1M
  • Match 423%NZ$760.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$744.3K
  • 3 other tiers25%NZ$842.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 3.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

153times
34141times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,020 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 18, 21, 34) with the draw of 22 April 2023 — its closest relative in 1,020 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 19 by chanceNZ$29,199
  • Match 5686≈ 640 by chanceNZ$549
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,490≈ 1.6k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 425,363≈ 26k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus33,833≈ 34k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3352,763≈ 353k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 686 winners, 7% more than the 640 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$29,199
    Match 5686NZ$549
    Match 4 + Bonus1,490NZ$58.00
    Match 425,363NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus33,833NZ$22.00
    Match 3352,763NZ$0.00
    Totals414,149—