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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 5 August 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 23
  3. 24
  4. 26
  5. 28
  6. 32
  7. 16

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,023 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-08-02All recent draws2023-08-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 23 24 26 28 32 + 1629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

21oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd5th
  • low5th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 153 of each

18157times
23174times
24166times
26154times
28

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-05

  • Lines in play≈ 14Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.7Mto 470k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 3.7

Where the money went

  • Match 627%NZ$1M
  • Match 423%NZ$855.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus23%NZ$855.5K
  • 3 other tiers26%NZ$958.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 3.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

154times
32155times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,022 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (23, 28, 32) with the draw of 2 August 2023 — its closest relative in 1,022 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 August 2023): 23, 28, 32 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

151

The numbers add up to 151 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus25≈ 22 by chanceNZ$17,282
  • Match 5734≈ 725 by chanceNZ$584
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,845≈ 1.8k by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 429,504≈ 29k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus38,885≈ 39k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3399,327≈ 399k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,845 winners, 2% more than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus25NZ$17,282
    Match 5734NZ$584
    Match 4 + Bonus1,845NZ$53.00
    Match 429,504NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus38,885NZ$22.00
    Match 3399,327NZ$0.00
    Totals470,321—