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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 30 August 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 17
  3. 22
  4. 30
  5. 36
  6. 40
  7. 20

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,030 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-08-26All recent draws2023-09-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 17 22 30 36 40 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum88th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 154 of each

9145times
17168times
22165times
30145times
36

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-30

  • Lines in play≈ 7.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 249k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$475.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$464.1K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$535.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

141times
40151times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,029 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (22, 30, 36) with the draw of 26 August 2023 — its closest relative in 1,029 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 August 2023): 22, 30, 36 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

154

The numbers add up to 154 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 12 by chanceNZ$17,206
  • Match 5373≈ 385 by chanceNZ$641
  • Match 4 + Bonus905≈ 963 by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 414,850≈ 15k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,094≈ 21k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3212,257≈ 212k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 905 winners, 6% fewer than the 963 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$17,206
    Match 5373NZ$641
    Match 4 + Bonus905NZ$61.00
    Match 414,850NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,094NZ$22.00
    Match 3212,257NZ$0.00
    Totals249,494—