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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 September 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 13
  3. 20
  4. 32
  5. 34
  6. 35
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,035 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-09-13All recent draws2023-09-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 13 20 32 34 35 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

87oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 87 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 100% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 155 of each

5148times
13153times
20154times
32158times
34

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-16

  • Lines in play≈ 8.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 269k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$542.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$526.9K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$615.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

143times
35162times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,034 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 34, 35) with the draw of 9 August 2023 — its closest relative in 1,034 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 34% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 13 by chanceNZ$19,802
  • Match 5403≈ 416 by chanceNZ$682
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,035≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 415,966≈ 17k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,955≈ 22k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3229,393≈ 229k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 15,966 winners, 4% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$19,802
    Match 5403NZ$682
    Match 4 + Bonus1,035NZ$61.00
    Match 415,966NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,955NZ$24.00
    Match 3229,393NZ$0.00
    Totals268,767—