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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 6 December 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 23
  3. 27
  4. 34
  5. 36
  6. 40
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,058 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-12-02All recent draws2023-12-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 23 27 34 36 40 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 159 of each

17171times
23180times
27143times
34148times
36

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-06

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.2Mto 204k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.6

Where the money went

  • Match 645%NZ$1M
  • Match 418%NZ$397.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$380.1K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$438.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

151times
40157times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,057 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 23, 34, 36) with the draw of 18 June 2016 — its closest relative in 1,057 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 December 2023): 34, 36 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

177

The numbers add up to 177 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 9.5 by chanceNZ$15,227
  • Match 5311≈ 313 by chanceNZ$631
  • Match 4 + Bonus842≈ 783 by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 412,413≈ 13k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus17,275≈ 17k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3172,718≈ 173k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 842 winners, 7% more than the 783 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$15,227
    Match 5311NZ$631
    Match 4 + Bonus842NZ$53.00
    Match 412,413NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus17,275NZ$22.00
    Match 3172,718NZ$0.00
    Totals203,573—