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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 6 January 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 16
  3. 25
  4. 29
  5. 31
  6. 37
  7. 12

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,067 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-01-03All recent draws2024-01-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 16 25 29 31 37 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 160 of each

8143times
16149times
25169times
29168times
31

Prize breakdown · 2024-01-06

  • Lines in play≈ 7.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 253k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$497.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$491.8K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$552.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

164times
37150times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,066 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 25, 29, 37) with the draw of 23 August 2014 — its closest relative in 1,066 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 January 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

146

The numbers add up to 146 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 12 by chanceNZ$19,186
  • Match 5378≈ 390 by chanceNZ$654
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,042≈ 975 by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 415,063≈ 16k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,384≈ 21k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3214,873≈ 215k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,042 winners, 7% more than the 975 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$19,186
    Match 5378NZ$654
    Match 4 + Bonus1,042NZ$54.00
    Match 415,063NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,384NZ$23.00
    Match 3214,873NZ$0.00
    Totals252,754—