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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 20 January 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 17
  3. 18
  4. 21
  5. 23
  6. 33
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,071 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-01-17All recent draws2024-01-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 17 18 21 23 33 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum38th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 161 of each

3152times
17173times
18162times
21159times
23

Prize breakdown · 2024-01-20

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.9Mto 349k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.7

Where the money went

  • Match 634%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$620.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$598.1K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$689.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

183times
33156times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,070 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 17, 23, 33) with the draw of 26 November 2011 — its closest relative in 1,070 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 January 2024): 3, 18 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus25≈ 16 by chanceNZ$12,425
  • Match 5496≈ 534 by chanceNZ$621
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,479≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$48.00
  • Match 421,389≈ 21k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus31,478≈ 28k by chanceNZ$19.00
  • Match 3294,302≈ 294k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,479 winners, 11% more than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus25NZ$12,425
    Match 5496NZ$621
    Match 4 + Bonus1,479NZ$48.00
    Match 421,389NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus31,478NZ$19.00
    Match 3294,302NZ$0.00
    Totals349,173—