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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 28 February 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 13
  3. 26
  4. 28
  5. 30
  6. 34
  7. 15

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,082 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-02-24All recent draws2024-03-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 13 26 28 30 34 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 February 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 162 of each

5157times
13165times
26165times
28163times
30

Prize breakdown · 2024-02-28

  • Lines in play≈ 7.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 252k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$488.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$477.2K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$540.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

148times
34153times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,081 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (13, 26, 28, 30, 34) with the draw of 4 August 2021 — its closest relative in 1,081 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 5.6% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 February 2024): 13 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

136

The numbers add up to 136 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 12 by chanceNZ$22,132
  • Match 5330≈ 389 by chanceNZ$732
  • Match 4 + Bonus975≈ 973 by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 415,265≈ 16k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,746≈ 21k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3214,469≈ 214k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 15,265 winners, 2% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$22,132
    Match 5330NZ$732
    Match 4 + Bonus975NZ$57.00
    Match 415,265NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,746NZ$23.00
    Match 3214,469NZ$0.00
    Totals251,797—