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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 7 August 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 15
  3. 29
  4. 30
  5. 31
  6. 40
  7. 12

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,128 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-08-03All recent draws2024-08-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 15 29 30 31 40 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 169 of each

13175times
15188times
29177times
30161times
31

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-07

  • Lines in play≈ 14Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.8Mto 469k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 3.7

Where the money went

  • Match 627%NZ$1M
  • Match 424%NZ$889.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus23%NZ$879.2K
  • 3 other tiers26%NZ$996.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 3.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

173times
40172times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,127 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 29, 30, 40) with the draw of 25 May 2016 — its closest relative in 1,127 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 August 2024): 29 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

158

The numbers add up to 158 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30, 30–31. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus17≈ 22 by chanceNZ$26,424
  • Match 5704≈ 725 by chanceNZ$633
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,754≈ 1.8k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 428,696≈ 29k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus38,224≈ 39k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3399,691≈ 400k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,754 winners, 3% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus17NZ$26,424
    Match 5704NZ$633
    Match 4 + Bonus1,754NZ$58.00
    Match 428,696NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus38,224NZ$23.00
    Match 3399,691NZ$0.00
    Totals469,091—