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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 24 August 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 10
  3. 14
  4. 19
  5. 25
  6. 38
  7. 34

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,133 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-08-21All recent draws2024-08-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 10 14 19 25 38 + 3429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 170 of each

5165times
10180times
14150times
19196times
25

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-24

  • Lines in play≈ 9.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 326k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.6

Where the money went

  • Match 635%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$589.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$586K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$661.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

180times
38161times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,132 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 14, 25, 38) with the draw of 5 April 2023 — its closest relative in 1,132 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 August 2024): 38 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 15 by chanceNZ$21,268
  • Match 5545≈ 507 by chanceNZ$542
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,116≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 420,338≈ 20k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,418≈ 27k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3279,403≈ 279k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,116 winners, 12% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$21,268
    Match 5545NZ$542
    Match 4 + Bonus1,116NZ$61.00
    Match 420,338NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,418NZ$24.00
    Match 3279,403NZ$0.00
    Totals325,835—