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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 7 September 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 8
  4. 9
  5. 33
  6. 40
  7. 17

JackpotNZ$1,000,006

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,137 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-09-04All recent draws2024-09-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 8 9 33 40 + 1729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 170 of each

2170times
4166times
8153times
9158times
33

Prize breakdown · 2024-09-07

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.2Mto 394k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 614 winnerschance said 3.1

Where the money went

  • Match 631%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$709.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$685.8K
  • 3 other tiers25%NZ$784.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 614≈ 3.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

168times
40173times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,136 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 4, 8, 33) with the draw of 15 October 2022 — its closest relative in 1,136 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 September 2024): 9 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$71,429
  • Match 5 + Bonus20≈ 18 by chanceNZ$17,693
  • Match 5588≈ 604 by chanceNZ$597
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,594≈ 1.5k by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 424,467≈ 24k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus34,288≈ 32k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3333,090≈ 333k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 34,288 winners, 6% more than the 32k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 614NZ$71,429
    Match 5 + Bonus20NZ$17,693
    Match 5588NZ$597
    Match 4 + Bonus1,594NZ$50.00
    Match 424,467NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus34,288NZ$20.00
    Match 3333,090NZ$0.00
    Totals394,061—